Mathematical Statistician

Full Job Description

This position is located with Bonneville Power Administration, in the Load Forecasting and Analysis (MSL) organization of Customer Support Services (MS), Business Management & Development (M).

A successful candidate in the Mathematical Statistician position will serve as a senior level expert mathematical statistician (Short Term Forecaster) performing scientific work that involves designing, developing, and adapting mathematical/statistical methods and techniques.

BASIC REQUIREMENT: A. Degree: that included 24 semester hours of mathematics and statistics, of which at least 12 semester hours were in mathematics and 6 semester hours were in statistics. OR B.

Combination of education and experience -- at least 24 semester hours of mathematics and statistics, including at least 12 hours in mathematics and 6 hours in statistics, as shown in A above, plus appropriate experience or additional education.

SPECIALIZED EXPERIENCE REQUIREMENTS A qualified candidate's resume must demonstrate at least one year of specialized experience equivalent to the next lower grade level (GS-12) in the Federal service.

Specialized experience for this position is defined as: 1) Designing, developing, creating or adapting mathematical methods and techniques in statistical processes to carry out short term, mid-term or long-term demand analyses and forecasts; AND 2) Writing statistical computer programs/algorithms to perform computer simulations.

"Experience" refers to paid and unpaid experience.

Examples of qualifying unpaid experience may include: volunteer work done through National Service programs (such as Peace Corps and AmeriCorps); as well as work for other community-based philanthropic and social organizations.

Volunteer work helps build critical competencies, knowledge, and skills; and can provide valuable training and experience that translates directly to paid employment.

You will receive credit for all qualifying experience, including volunteer experience.

Time-in-Grade: Current Federal employees must meet time-in-grade requirements by the closing date of this announcement to receive consideration.

CTAP candidates: To be considered "well qualified" you must meet all of the requirements as described in this section.

You must meet all qualifications and eligibility requirements by the closing date of this announcement. Major Duties:

As a Mathematical Statistician, you will: Perform the scientific work of designing, developing, creating or adapting mathematical methods and techniques in statistical processes to carry out short-term (sub-hourly, hourly, out 2 weeks) load analysis.

Incumbent is responsible for developing, coordinating, and implementing all studies, analyses, and forecasts.

Develop load forecasting methods and models for Short-Term (sub-hourly, hourly, out 2 weeks) for operating level loads through the application of complex mathematical/statistical methods.

Perform continuing mathematical and statistical investigations to evaluate and compare alternative forecasting models relative to actual observed electricity demands.

Provide timely and high quality subject matter expertise on load changes and supports business operations, marketing meetings, and demand side management meetings.

Compare forecasts with actual obligations, determine the reasons for differences, and assess the impact of those differences on the reliability of future forecasts, market rates, and systems operations Evaluate research, interpret economic and environmental conditions, and test and adjust mathematical models to ensure a close correlation with reality and to ensure that operational changes are based on reliable data.